JAN. 1 is looming large in the future of Czechoslovakia, but not
because of New Year's celebrations.
It is the day that sweeping price liberalization will take effect
as part of the radical reform aimed at transferring the country's
communist system to a free-market economy.
It is also the day that the Soviet Union will start demanding
scarce, convertible (hard) currency for its vital oil supplies,
squeezing the already tight fuel-supply situation.
All over the country, people look toward the economic changes
with uncertainty and trepidation.
"We are in the midst of a transition which has never before been
realized," Ladislaw Snopko, culture minister of the Slovak Republic
says. "Even in Spain, after Franco died, (they went from
totalitarianism to democracy), but they still did it all on the
basis of a market economy."
People are convinced that the unknown will not be easy.
"They are aware that the radical economic reform over the next
two years will mean a 10 to 20 percent drop in living standards and
100,000 to 350,000 unemployed," says Feder Gal, president of Public
Against Violence, the political movement in Slovakia formed during
the revolution as the vanguard of the anticommunist campaign.
"The biggest problem of the population at the moment is the fact
that, for the first time in their lives, they have the future in
their own hands and they don't know what to do with this freedom,"
Privatization has begun
A privatization law approved by Parliament in October, for
example, will turn over to private hands about 100,000 small shops
and enterprises - a changed world for business people who have never
before had to deal with competition or marketing.
A round of food and transportation price hikes this summer was a
foretaste of change. In mid-October, the commercial exchange rate of
the crown was devalued by more than 50 percent. Price hikes in the
wake of the Gulf crisis and sharply reduced supplies from the Soviet
Union have already increased gasoline prices by about 50 percent.
"It means that if we drive to Prague from our home in Bratislava
to visit my parents (a round trip of about 450 miles), it will cost
800 crowns ($26), and that's impossible," says Krystina Rexa, whose
husband, a researcher, earns the equivalent of $80 a month - a
People save for New Year
Jan. 1 pops up in conversations like a barrier.
"I am just working and working, trying to put by as much money as
I can," says Ondrej Ernyei, a Prague piano tuner who also earns
extra money playing in a jazz band. "I have a lot of work at the
moment, too - people are buying big items, like pianos, before
prices go up after Jan. …