Newspaper article The Christian Science Monitor

Pundits Reach Conclusion: Bush or Clinton Will Win

Newspaper article The Christian Science Monitor

Pundits Reach Conclusion: Bush or Clinton Will Win

Article excerpt

CLINTON campaign insiders claim their polls are showing the Arkansas governor's lead over President Bush in double-digits in at least 19 states, reports Monitor staff writer Marshall Ingwerson. Those states alone are only 20 electoral votes shy of the 270 needed to win. That list does not count states such as Michigan, Ohio, New Jersey, Georgia, North Carolina, or Florida, where the Clinton campaign also claims solid leads. And if Ross Perot actively enters the race, Gov. Bill Clinton's polls show his lead over Mr. Bush immediately doubling in North Carolina and Florida.On the other hand, two prominent formulas used to forecast presidential elections months in advance - one by Ray Fair of Yale University and another by political scientists Michael Lewis-Beck and Thomas Rice - have called the election for Bush. But in a close look at the uncertainties in both equations, writes political scientist Nathaniel Beck, results "ranging from an impressive Bush victory to a major defeat {are} not out of the question."

Such are the marvels of modern political science. Waiting for Perot - Not!

Edward Rollins, the Republican political consultant who managed Ross Perot's short-lived presidential campaign earlier this year, is not exactly welcoming the Texas billionaire into the race with open arms. In a New York Times Op-Ed piece Sept. 28, Mr. Rollins says his former boss "is completely void of any substance, commitment, or veracity" and that Perot has made himself look "kooky."Rollins concludes that the Texan "should quit tampering with the democratic process simply to massage his ego, badly bruised when the country finally learned he wasn't who he pretended to be...." Moral of the story: If you hire a hired gun, make sure he stays hired. Saying goodbye to top adviser

Clinton and a host of his senior campaign advisers will be in the Washington, D.C., area this week to attend the funeral of colleague Paul Tully, reports Monitor staff writer Amy Kaslow. …

Search by... Author
Show... All Results Primary Sources Peer-reviewed

Oops!

An unknown error has occurred. Please click the button below to reload the page. If the problem persists, please try again in a little while.