Lending Credibility: The International Monetary Fund and the Post-Communist Transition

By Randall W. Stone | Go to book overview

Tables
1.1. Effects of Inflation on Growth and Quality of Life 7
3.1. International Accounts 41
3.2. Policy Variables 42
3.3. Growth, Savings, and Investment 43
3.4. Quantitative Studies of Conditionality Programs 44
4.1. Durations of Punishment Intervals 62
4.2. Durations of Programs in Good Standing 68
4.3. Effects of Foreign Aid on Policy Variables 76
4.4. Effects of Punishment Duration on Policy Variables 82
5.1. 1990 Targets and Results 96
5.2. Sejm Election of October 27, 1991 103
5.3. Sejm Election of September 19, 1993 110
7.1. PriceWaterhouseCoopers Audits of Reported NBU Reserves 194
A.1. Correlations of U.S. and non-U.S. Foreign Aid 249
B.1. Assumptions and Implications of Missing Data 251
B.2. Government Duration Models 257
B.3. Analysis of Duration of Programs in Good Standing 258
B.4. Analysis of Duration of Punishment Intervals 260

-xiii-

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Lending Credibility: The International Monetary Fund and the Post-Communist Transition
Table of contents

Table of contents

  • Title Page *
  • Contents vii
  • Figures xi
  • Tables xiii
  • Acronyns xv
  • Preface xix
  • Lending Credibility *
  • 1 - Introduction 1
  • Part I - Models and Data 13
  • 2 - A Formal Model of Lending Credibility 15
  • Appendix - A Formal Model of Lending Credibility 29
  • 3 - Studying Imf Effectiveness 39
  • 4 - An Empirical Test of the Model 59
  • Part II - History 87
  • 5 - Poland 89
  • 6 - Russia 116
  • 7 - Ukraine 169
  • 8 - Bulgaria 209
  • 9 - Conclusion 233
  • Appendixes 243
  • A - Data 245
  • B - Statistical Methods 250
  • C - List of Interviews 262
  • Bibliography 266
  • Index 279
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