The Great Population Spike and After: Reflections on the 21st Century

By W. W. Rostow | Go to book overview

Oxford University Press

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All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise, without the prior permission of Oxford University Press.

Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data

Rostow, W. W. (Walt Whitman), 1916-- The great population spike and after: reflections on the 21st century / by Walt W. Rostow.

p. cm.

Includes index.

ISBN 0-19-511691-7

1. Population forecasting. 2. Economic forecasting. 3. Population -- Economic aspects. 4. Twenty-first century -- Forecasts. I. Title.

HB849-53.R67 1997

304.6 -- dc21 97-13913

Frontispiece: Population Growth Rate in Long-Term Historical Perspective. Sources: Herman Kahn et al., The Next 200 Years ( New York: Morrow, 1976), p. 29; Ronald Freeman and Bernard Berelson , "The Human Population," Scientific American, September 1974, pp. 36-37.

9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1

Printed in the United States of America on acid-free paper

-iv-

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The Great Population Spike and After: Reflections on the 21st Century
Table of contents

Table of contents

  • Title Page iii
  • Preface vii
  • Contents xi
  • One - The Framework 3
  • Two - Population and the Stages of Growth 45
  • Three - Technology and Investment 47
  • Introduction 47
  • Conclusion 77
  • Four - Relative Prices 79
  • Five - Cycles 97
  • Six - The Limits to Growth 119
  • Seven - The Role of the United States in the Post-Cold War World 139
  • Eight - The Critical Margin and America's Inner Cities 157
  • Nine - Conclusions 181
  • Appendix A - A Historical Analogy 187
  • Appendix B - The Demography of the People's Republic of China 195
  • Notes 203
  • Index 221
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