Recruiting Youth in the College Market: Current Practices and Future Policy Options

By M. Rebecca Kilburn; Beth J. Asch | Go to book overview

Appendix B

MULTINOMIAL LOGIT COEFFICIENTS
FOR YEAR OF SURVEY

The tables in this appendix display the Multinomial Logit coefficients (in Relative Risk Ratios) for the variables in Chapter Two that indicate year of survey. The year variables are dummy coded, with 1976 as the reference category. The Relative Risk Ratios presented in each table, therefore, represent the multiplicative effect of each year relative to 1976 on the odds of having a given level of propensity for the stated activity.

Table B.1 displays the year coefficients for two-year college intentions. In general, the results show that from 1981 on, the odds that students will state they either Probably Will or Definitely Will graduate from a two-year college increased relative to 1976. The coefficients are generally larger for the Definitely Will category, indicating that time has larger effects on the probability of having definite rather than probably probable positive intentions. For most years, there is no significant difference in the odds of stating one Probably Won't graduate from a two-year college. These findings are all consistent with the findings for two-year college intentions reported in Chapter Two: a modest increase in positive propensity combined with increased certainty regarding two-year college.

The year coefficients for four-year college intentions are displayed in Table B.2. Again, these results are consistent with the trends reported in Chapter Two. From the early 1980s on, students were more likely each year to state they Probably Will or Definitely Will graduate from a four-year college. As with the two-year results, the effects of time

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