The Middle East's Relations with Asia and Russia

By Hannah Carter; Anoushiravan Ehteshami | Go to book overview

and the United States' perception of the environment, which will influence the direction of Middle East-Asia relations in the twenty-first century. After 9/11 we can be sure of one thing; the race for pre-eminence has already begun.


Notes
1
Haifa Jawad (ed.) The Middle East in the New World Order (London: Macmillan, 1997), Phoebe Marr and William Lewis (eds) Riding the Tiger: The Middle East Challenge After the Cold War (Boulder, CO: Westview Press, 1993).
2
Michael Scott Doran, 'Somebody Else's Civil War', Foreign Affairs, vol. 81, no. 1, January/February 2002, pp. 22-42.
3
See his State of the Union Address, January 2002.
4
Michael Yahuda, The International Politics of the Asia-Pacific, 1945-1995 (London: Routledge, 1996), pp. 257-8.
5
'China's Economic Power: Enter the Dragon', The Economist, 10 March 2001, p. 26.
6
'China's Confident Bow', The Economist, 10 March 2001, p. 79.
7
IISS, The Military Balance, 2001-2002 (Oxford: Oxford University Press for IISS, 2001), p. 177. The 2002/03 defence budget increased by a further 17 per cent.
8
SIPRI, SIPRI Yearbook 2000: Armaments, Disarmament and International Security (Oxford: Oxford University Press for SIPRI, 2000), p. 372.
9
Martha Brill Olcott, Central Asia's New States: Independence, Foreign Policy, and Regional Security (Washington, DC: United States Institute of Peace Press, 1996).
10
For a discussion of the concept of 'strategic interdependence' and its consequences for the wider Middle East region, see Anoushiravan Ehteshami, Nuclearisation of the Middle East (London: Brassey's, 1989).
11
To appreciate the potential economic power of China look no further than Trish Saywell, 'China: Powering Asia's Growth', Far Eastern Economic Review,2 August 2001.
12
Ray Dafter, 'Pricing Paradox Costs Asia', Far Eastern Economic Review, 26 April 2001.
13
According to reliable estimates, 'between 1987 and 1997, energy consumption in the Asia-Pacific region grew 4.5% annually, compared to a world average of 1.5%. It is estimated that energy demand will grow 3.4% annually from 1997 to 2010. At this rate of growth, [the Asia-Pacific] region will become the largest energy-consuming region in the world by 2010'. See Kim Hak-Su, 'Energizing Asia's Growth', Far Eastern Economic Review, 23 November 2000. Equally interesting is his assessment that by 2005, the annual investment requirement of the energy industry in east Asia alone will be 'between $150 billion and $200 billion', an astonishing sum.
14
It is said that Indian and Chinese demand is likely to climb sharply to between 20 million and 30 million tonnes a year after 2010, and rise more steeply by 2020. 'It's going to be a quick build-up. Really, this is very big consumption', according to the Director of General Affairs at Indonesia's state-owned Pertamina. John McBeth, 'Fuel of the Future', Far Eastern Economic Review, 14 September 2000.
15
Alkman Granitsas, 'Barrels of Trouble', Far Eastern Economic Review, 30 March 2000.

-19-

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