countries. There was also a suggestion of an increasing long-term trend in the percent unemployed 12 or more months. More data points are needed, however, before these findings should be given much weight. At least the finding on the effect of lagged unemployment seems reasonable in light of the findings from the OECD-20 countries. Also, that there should be a positive trend toward an increased percentage of long- term unemployment seems to square with both Figure 8.2 in Chapter 8 and a priori notions about labor market developments in the CEE countries.