Bracing for Armageddon? The Science and Politics of Bioterrorism in America

By William R. Clark | Go to book overview

NOTES

CHAPTER 1

1. You can read the official final script of the Dark Winter exercise at http://www.upmc-biosecurity.org/pages/events/dark_winter. The information in this chapter was extracted (with minor dramatic license) from this script and from a published follow-up analysis of the exercise: Tara O’Connor, Michael Mair, and Thomas V. Inglesby, Shining Light on “Dark Winter,” Clinical Infectious Diseases, 34(2002):972.

2. The transmission rate of ten for a primary smallpox outbreak, for example, is likely half or less of that depicted in Dark Winter: Raymond Gani and Steve Leach, “Transmission Potential of Smallpox in Contemporary Populations,” Nature 414(2001):748. See also H. Pennington, “Smallpox and Bioterrorism,” Bulletin of the World Health Organization (2003) 81:762. Also, improvements in home as well as hospital care developed while the disease was still prevalent seem to have been ignored. For a detailed critique of exercises such as Dark Winter, and in particular Atlantic Storm, see Milton Leitenberg, Assessing the Biological Weapons and Bioterrorism Threat (Carlisle Barracks, PA: U.S. Army War College, Strategic Studies Institute, 2005), 48–59. Available free at www.strategicstudiesinstitute.army. mil


CHAPTER 2

1. See for example Leitenberg, Assessing. We will discuss this issue further in chapter 10.

2. Brian Jenkins, “Will Terrorists Go Nuclear?” Orbis 29 (Autumn 1985):511.

3. Numerous accounts have been written about the Rajneesh cult, but the most accurate is probably that found in Seth Carus, “The

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