How Domestic Trends in the U.S., China, and Iran Could Influence U.S. Navy Strategic Planning

By John Gordon IV; Robert W. Button et al. | Go to book overview

CHAPTER ONE
Introduction and Objectives

Introduction

This research is the second in a series of strategic studies RAND conducted for the U.S. Navy’s Office of the Chief of Naval Operations, Assessment Division (N81). The initial research was conducted in the summer and fall of 2006. Entitled “Evolving Strategic Trends, Implications for the U.S. Navy,” that first study was intended for a select Navy audience. It identified likely major global strategic trends in the next decade and how they might influence Navy planning. As a result of that study, N81 asked RAND to conduct a follow-on effort that focused primarily on the domestic trends of the United States, China, and Iran. Ultimately, the Navy wanted insights on how these important trends could influence U.S. security decisions in general and the Navy’s allocation of resources in particular.


Study Approach

Whereas the first strategic-trends study was primarily concerned with security-related issues around the world that could influence U.S. military planning, this monograph discusses internal, nonmilitary trends in the United States, the People’s Republic of China (PRC), and Iran. The Navy is interested in these countries’ likely “resource drivers” from

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How Domestic Trends in the U.S., China, and Iran Could Influence U.S. Navy Strategic Planning
Table of contents

Table of contents

  • Title Page i
  • Preface iii
  • Contents v
  • Figures ix
  • Tables xi
  • Summary xiii
  • Abbreviations xxvii
  • Chapter One - Introduction and Objectives 1
  • Chapter Two - Strategic Trends in the United States 5
  • Chapter Three - The United States’ near Abroad 29
  • Chapter Four - Strategic Trends in the People’s Republic of China 37
  • Chapter Five - China’s near Abroad 87
  • Chapter Six - Strategic Trends in Iran 97
  • Chapter Seven - Iran’s near Abroad 125
  • Chapter Eight - Japan’s near Abroad 133
  • Chapter Nine - Russia’s near Abroad 143
  • Chapter Ten - Conclusions 159
  • Appendix A - Comparisons 171
  • Appendix B - China’s Coal Future 177
  • Bibliography 191
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