Nuclear Deterrence in the 21st Century: Lessons from the Cold War for a New Era of Strategic Piracy

By Thérèse Delpech | Go to book overview

Foreword
This book grew out of a conversation that Thérèse Delpech had with me on the margins of a conference in 2007. She was among France’s most prominent scholars, analysts, and officials dealing with security issues, especially nuclear weapons. In that conversation, she told me that she had long admired the work on deterrence that was done in the 1950s and 1960s, much of it at RAND in Santa Monica. She lamented the fact that she had not encountered the same level of reflection on today’s deterrence challenges. Of course, those challenges are different, she noted, than those of the time of the U.S.-Soviet nuclear standoff, but that does not necessarily mean that the thinking from that time is irrelevant.Thus, we hatched the plan for this book. Thérèse was willing to take time from her career in France to come to Santa Monica for weeks at a time to go through RAND’s deterrence literature—a trove of studies that continues to grow today—and to begin to write. She started in Santa Monica, a city she enjoyed, in August 2009.Sadly, she fell ill in the middle of the project. In the early days of her battle with the illness that she never specified, she told me that she was determined to finish the project, working at home in Paris and, if possible, returning to Santa Monica. She did both and she submitted the book for review at RAND in late 2010. She hoped to return in 2011 for the final rewrite, but she was unable to. She finished the rewrite at home a few months before her death. I am both sad and proud that RAND is able to publish what may be her last book. The world has lost a great talent much too young; she had so much more to do.The book is a triumph. Thérèse
spells out the need for revitalization of thinking about nuclear weapons, a challenge that RAND takes seriously
reviews the key concepts of past deterrence thinking and their development up to now
reviews today’s key security challenges and their relation to nuclear weapons
demonstrates that some of the concepts of the past remain relevant today

-vii-

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Nuclear Deterrence in the 21st Century: Lessons from the Cold War for a New Era of Strategic Piracy
Table of contents

Table of contents

  • Advance Praise for Nuclear Deterrence in the 21st Century i
  • Title Page iii
  • Foreword vii
  • Contents ix
  • Acknowledgments xiii
  • Chapter One - Introduction 1
  • Chapter Two - Why Is This Subject Important? 9
  • Chapter Three - Concepts 23
  • Chapter Four - Lessons from Crises 61
  • Chapter Five - The Age of Small Powers 93
  • Chapter Six - Ahead of Us- The Big Piracy Game? 115
  • Chapter Seven - Space and Cyberdeterrence 141
  • Conclusion 159
  • References 165
  • About the Author 181
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