Principles of Risk Analysis: Decision Making under Uncertainty

By Charles Yoe | Go to book overview

PRINCIPLES OF
RISK ANALYSIS
DECISION MAKING UNDER UNCERTAINTY

CHARLES YOE

CRC Press
Taylor & Francis Group
Boca Raton London New York

CRC Press is an imprint of the
Taylor & Francis Group, an informa business

-iii-

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Principles of Risk Analysis: Decision Making under Uncertainty
Table of contents

Table of contents

  • Principles of Risk Analysis Decision Making under Uncertainty i
  • Title Page iii
  • Contents v
  • Preface xv
  • About the Author xxi
  • 1 - The Basics 1
  • 2 - Uncertainty 23
  • 3 - Risk Management 43
  • 4 - Risk Assessment 93
  • 5 - Risk Communication 127
  • 6 - Problem Identification for Risk Management 165
  • 7 - Brainstorming 187
  • 8 - Opportunity Costs and Trade-Offs 203
  • 9 - Qualitative Risk Assessment 223
  • 10 - The Art and Practice of Risk Assessment Modeling 261
  • 11 - Probability Review 303
  • 12 - Choosing a Probability Distribution 319
  • 13 - Probability Elicitation 363
  • 14 - Monte Carlo Process 387
  • 15 - Probabilistic Scenario Analysis 399
  • 16 - Sensitivity Analysis 421
  • 17 - Presenting and Using Assessment Results 457
  • 18 - Message Development 507
  • Appendix a: the Language of Risk and ISO 31000 521
  • Appendix B: Using Palisade’S Decision Tools Suite 531
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