Horse Racing: REAL GENT; VALUE SCOPE He's a True Star and He Is Ready to Shine at Lingfield
Byline: By DAVE MITCHELL
PACE - or rather the likely lack of it - is the most important factor to consider before you part with your hard-earned in today's Winter Derby.
There isn't a single confirmed front-runner in the race and, unless somebody takes the bull by the horns and goes on, position on the home turn - and a healthy chunk of luck - are going to be the most important factors as to where the big pot ends up.
Anyway, we will start our eliminations by using the ratings - these are exposed horses and nothing is suddenly going to improve 14lbs on the day, however the race is run.
Those who simply don't look good enough are Boo, Cusoon, Grand Passion, Illustrious Blue, Mighty and Speedy Sam.
In theory, the pace of the race should put those drawn low at a disadvantage, but that hasn't been the case in this over the years with seven of the nine winners being drawn in stalls one to five.
In a finish where inches will make the difference, the winner is more likely to be the one who enjoys the golden balls run up the inner, rather than being forced four wide, so the statistic sticks and Alfie Flits, Cimyla and Hattan are cast aside.
Quickly we are down to just Blue Bajan, Gentleman's Deal and Orchard Supreme as possible winners of the most important all-weather race of the year.
Given the characteristics of Lingfield, you are simply not going to be able to come from way back in this class so, which of the trio has the tactical speed to hold a position close to the pace? …