Russia, China Cozy Up vs. West ; Yeltsin, Seeking Support for Chechnya Offensive, Meets Chinese Leaders
Kevin Platt, writer of The Christian Science Monitor, The Christian Science Monitor
When the new US ambassador arrives in Beijing this week to begin guiding US-China ties into the 21st century, he might feel as if he is moving ahead into the past - to a 1950s world where Washington faced a formidable Sino-Soviet axis.
Ambassador Joseph Prueher will be forced to wait for an audience with China's top leaders while Communist Party chief Jiang Zemin holds a two-day summit with Russian President Boris Yeltsin. The Chinese and Russian leaders are expected to discuss weapons transfers and other measures aimed at containing the globe's sole superpower.
"The Russian-Chinese strategic partnership is growing closer," says June Treufel Dreyer, an expert on the Chinese military at the University of Miami.
Growing arms sales from Moscow to Beijing "could be matched by joint military maneuvers and mutual troop withdrawals from the Chinese-Russian border," adds Professor Dreyer.
Beijing has already voiced support for Russia's military campaign in Chechnya, and Yeltsin is trying to form a united front against potential Western intervention in either country's ethnic conflicts.
US military superiority since the breakup of the Soviet Union nearly a decade ago, along with Washington's increasing willingness to use that power to solve ethnic or human rights problems within other nations, is alarming Russia and China.
Resisting West's interference
"The expansion of NATO toward Russia's borders and the attack on Yugoslavia on so-called humanitarian grounds are pushing Russia and China closer together," says Yan Xuetong, a scholar at the Chinese Institute for Contemporary International Studies.
Military officials here warn that Washington's criticism of the Chechnya campaign could portend its interference in Russia or China's drive to crush pro-independence movements.
In response, China and Russia seem to be moving toward a quasi- alliance to check Washington, say defense analysts in all three countries.
Russia has already sold or agreed to sell China approximately 90 SU-27 jetfighters, destroyers equipped with Sunburn missiles, 4 kilo- class submarines, and 30 to 50 advanced SU-30 aircraft, says Dreyer.
The US has banned arms transfers to China since the Army crushed massive pro-democracy protests in Beijing in 1989, but "those sanctions create the impression here that the US defense establishment is hostile toward China," says scholar Yan.
Moscow is in the middle of a battle against Chechen rebels, while Beijing is facing its own potential insurrection by Muslim guerrillas in northwest China. Both are apprehensive that a US-led military coalition could one day intervene to protect out-gunned ethnic minorities in Chechnya or Xinjiang, just as NATO did in Kosovo.
Vladimir Zakharov, a spokesman at the Russian Embassy in Beijing, says one of the main purposes of the Yeltsin-Jiang summit "is to discuss Chechnya and the struggle against international terrorism. Like Russia, China is very serious about fighting religious- inspired separatist movements."
While the West has condemned Russia's scorched-earth assault on Chechnya, China's foreign ministry yesterday said it "supports Russian efforts to maintain its national unification and territorial integrity. …