Energy Policy and Third World Development

By Pradip K. Ghosh | Go to book overview

A Soft Energy Scenario for India
T. L. SANKAR India, the most populous of the developing countries outside the centrally planned economies, is also the largest among the newly industrialising countries. While over 40% of India's population languishes below the poverty line, and their absolute numbers are reported to have been increasing over the last three decades of planned development, the industrial capability of the country as a whole has shown commendable growth in quantity and quality. Since the pattern of growth was modelled upon those in Western economies, it has been accompanied by a high rate of increase in the consumption of commercial energy, and especially of oil products (see Table 1, below).In response to the oil price increases of 1973-74 and 1979, the energy future of the country visualised by different interest groups vary widely, depending on personal ideology, interests and scientific and technological background. Those scenarios that have gained currency could be classified as follows:
Coal-Maximisation Scenario
Energy-Intensity-Reduction Scenario
Renewable-Energy Scenario
Life-Style Change Scenario

The broad assumptions underlying these scenarios are set out as fellows.

____________________
From DEVELOPMENT: SEEDS OF CHANGE, 1981:2, (39-43), reprinted by permission of the publisher, Society for International Development, Rome.

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