World Inflation and the Developing Countries

By Surjit S. Bhalla; Gabriel Siri et al. | Go to book overview

Contents
1. Introduction1
William R. Cline
Dimensions of the Worldwide Cycle, 1972-753
External Sources of Instability4
Country Studies8
Implications for Future Policy8
2. Real Economic Effects of World Inflation and Recession10
William R. Cline
Terms of Trade11
Prices of Major Commodities17
Capital Requirements and Availability19
External Debt and Reserves28
Inflation and the Distribution of World Income37
Protection, Exchange Rates, and Inflation45
Conclusion47
Appendix48
3. The Transmission of Inflation into Developing Economies52
Surjit S. Bhalla
The Inflation Boom53
Domestic Causes of Expansion of the Money Supply63
International Causes of Expansion of the Money Supply69
Econometric Models of Price Inflation76
Results of Econometric Tests84
A Cross-Country Analysis89
Conclusion94
Appendix95
4. Brazil's Aggressive Response to External Shocks102
William R. Cline
The Monetary Impact of World Inflation103
Inflation Imported through the Trade Channel106
Macroeconomic Developments, 1975-77115
The Impact of External Recession117
Response to External Fluctuations122
Conclusion132

-ix-

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