Correlation Analysis Applied: Reapportionment Cases
A few years ago, an article appeared in The American Behavioral Scientist and in The Practical Lawyer, titled "Using Simple Calculations to Predict Judicial Decisions".1 Since then, the article has been reprinted 2 and commented on 3 in various places, but no detailed application has yet been reported of the methodology presented.4 It is the purpose of this chapter to present such an application in the hope that others might thereby be stimulated to apply it further. The application involves reapportionment cases, although almost any field of law could have been used for illustrative purposes. Technical aspects of the methodology have been placed in the footnotes so as not to disrupt the continuity of the application to the nontechnical-oriented reader.
From Colegrove v. Green5 through Baker v. Carr,6 nine major reapportionment cases have been decided in the federal and state courts.7Table 11-1 shows the name, citation, year, and state of each case as____________________