Led by W. Max Corden
Corden: Now come the results of our important poll. [All conference participants were asked to assign a probability that the European Monetary Union would commence on the announced date, January 1, 1999.]
Mundell: On the basis of our survey, I can give you the average odds that Germany and France, plus some other countries, will go forward to the Union on time. The average score, in a probability sense, was 0.535.
Zak: Do you have a variance?
Mundell: I don't have that, but the range was from 0.15 to 0.8. There were three people at 0.8, and five people below 0.5. The rest  were 0.5 or above. The median was 0.6.
Cooper: I took a survey of the American intelligence community on this question about one year ago, and the results were almost identical: 8:5 that it would go forward on time.
Neumann: The mean of the Nobel Prize winners was 0.45.
Corden: This just goes to show that economists can reach a wide area of agreement.
Solomon: It also goes to show what a well balanced group this is.
Hinshaw: I have just a very few words. I can't let this conference end without pointing out that its been very successful. This has been the best attended conference we've ever had. I want to thank everybody, especially the important people who came long distances. I also wanted to say what a splendid job our chairman has done. I think you'll all agree that he has been terrific.