The Decline of the Soviet Union and the Transformation of the Middle East

By David H. Goldberg; Paul Marantz | Go to book overview

needed hard currency and oil. 22 In addition, some analysts predicted a "softening" in political and military cooperation between Israel and the United States in the post-Cold War "new world order." 23

Analysts concluded that the new configuration of international power afforded by the decline of the Soviet Union played an important part in affecting the Rabin government's decision to participate in the peace initiative with the Palestinians and other Arab interlocutors. 24

In the final analysis, the ongoing historical transformation of the Middle East was caused by a complex blend of variables. The ultimate outcome of this transformation will be influenced by the way in which many of these variables interact. By causing the basic restructuring of regional political and military affairs, and by forcing key regional parties to begin to seriously rethink their relations toward each other, the decline of the Soviet Union was instrumental in establishing the context for a transformed Middle East. While the Soviet Union no longer exists, its legacy will continue to influence regional affairs. We hope that this book has shed some light on this important issue.


Notes
1.
Thomas Friedman, "The First Step," New York. Times, August 31, 1993.
2.
For the full text of the Israel-P.L.O. Declaration of Principles, see the New York Times, September 14, 1993.
3.
New York Times, September 15, 1993.
4.
Middle East Mirror, September 14, 1993.
5.
Middle East Mirror, September 21, 1993.
6.
David Hoffman, "In Israel, An Uneasy Sense of Peace," Washington Post National Weekly Edition, September 13-19, 1993.
7.
New York Times, September 20, 1993.
8.
William E. Schmidt, "Syrian Leader Plays a Waiting Game," New York Times, September 18, 1993.
9.
Mideast Mirror, September 13, 1993.
10.
Schmidt, "Syrian Leader Plays a Waiting Game." On the possible implications of the Israel-P.L.O. accord for Syria-Israel relations, see the following: "No Progress in Sight on Syrian-Israeli Track," Mideast Mirror, September 6, 1993; Amy Dockser Marcus , "For Israel, No Push for Peace With Syria," Wall Street Journal, September 8, 1993; Gwynne Dyer, "Assad Willing, This Deal Could Work," Toronto Star, September 14, 1993.
11.
Mideast Mirror, September 13, 1993.
12.
Mideast Mirror, September 16, 1993.
13.
New York Times, September 22, 1993.
14.
A series of public opinion polls conducted in the first weeks after the signing of the Israel-P.L.O. Declaration of Principles indicated that almost 65% of Israeli Jews favored the deal; an equal proportion of Palestinians residing in Gaza, the West Bank, and East Jerusalem also supported the accord.

-233-

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