local parties help to form local majorities, they follow the predilections of the electorate rather than leading the process by forming coherent policy positions. Generalizing upward, these findings imply that the Republican Party will not impose policies too far from the ideological position of the median voter.
The second set of models shows the irrelevancy of mayoral and voter preferences when controlling intergovernmental revenues. The lack of association with state party and ideological measures implies that expenditures are strongly influenced by the federal government. These findings dampen optimism for local governmental autonomy. If the Republican Party reduces funds to cities, it remains to be seen whether local governments will pick up the slack. My analysis shows that there may be some willingness to increase taxes to restore social programs, but the ability to do so may be circumvented by conservative state governments.
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