The Collapse of the Democratic Presidential Majority: Realignment, Dealignment, and Electoral Change from Franklin Roosevelt to Bill Clinton

By David G. Lawrence | Go to book overview

7
Mondale's Revenge: Ideology and Retrospective Evaluations in 1992

The 1992 presidential election might initially seem to mark an end of the era of Republican dominance in presidential elections that dates back to 1968. Bill Clinton's victory was only the Democrats' second since 1964. And while Jimmy Carter's triumph could easily be attributed to the more-or-less accidental effects of Watergate, Clinton's seemed rooted in more fundamental and long-term aspects of electoral politics centering on core issues of economic management and prosperity. Those schooled in the classic theory of realignment would undoubtedly find the thirdparty effort of Ross Perot intriguing, suggestive of a failure of an existing party system to contain new cross-cutting issues associated with the budget deficit and, quite likely, indicative of Republican failure to maintain control of the issue agenda that had underlay the Reagan successes of the 1980s.

Yet in many ways the message of 1992 is one of continuity rather than change. The first, and in many ways the most important, indicator of the lack of change in 1992 is Clinton's percentage of the popular vote: Clinton of course won with a minority of the popular vote, able to do so because Perot and Bush divided the opposition.1 The evidence from Chapter Two provides considerable evidence that the 1992 outcome marks continuation in the pattern of recent elections which the Democrats lost: the standard deviation of Democratic percentage of the vote for a five-election sequence falls when 1992 is substituted for 1972 to 3.90, the lowest for any five year sequence since Roosevelt's first victory; and five of the six t statistics that mark discontinuities in Democratic election performance in Figure 2.1 through Figure 2.4 decline from already low levels. In terms of outcomes, there is no evidence that 1992 marks a break with a pattern of Democratic electoral performance that dates back to 1968.

Even more striking is the continuity of most of the attitudinal components of past elections that had favored the Democrats well before 1992: a continuing surplus of Democratic identifiers over Republicans, a continuing perception of the Democratic Party as centrist rather than ideologically extreme, a continuing modest Democratic advantage in relative proximity to voters in ideological issue space,

-139-

Notes for this page

Add a new note
If you are trying to select text to create highlights or citations, remember that you must now click or tap on the first word, and then click or tap on the last word.
One moment ...
Default project is now your active project.
Project items

Items saved from this book

This book has been saved
Highlights (0)
Some of your highlights are legacy items.

Highlights saved before July 30, 2012 will not be displayed on their respective source pages.

You can easily re-create the highlights by opening the book page or article, selecting the text, and clicking “Highlight.”

Citations (0)
Some of your citations are legacy items.

Any citation created before July 30, 2012 will labeled as a “Cited page.” New citations will be saved as cited passages, pages or articles.

We also added the ability to view new citations from your projects or the book or article where you created them.

Notes (0)
Bookmarks (0)

You have no saved items from this book

Project items include:
  • Saved book/article
  • Highlights
  • Quotes/citations
  • Notes
  • Bookmarks
Notes
Cite this page

Cited page

Style
Citations are available only to our active members.
Buy instant access to cite pages or passages in MLA, APA and Chicago citation styles.

(Einhorn, 1992, p. 25)

(Einhorn 25)

1. Lois J. Einhorn, Abraham Lincoln, the Orator: Penetrating the Lincoln Legend (Westport, CT: Greenwood Press, 1992), 25, http://www.questia.com/read/27419298.

Cited page

Bookmark this page
The Collapse of the Democratic Presidential Majority: Realignment, Dealignment, and Electoral Change from Franklin Roosevelt to Bill Clinton
Table of contents

Table of contents

Settings

Settings

Typeface
Text size Smaller Larger Reset View mode
Search within

Search within this book

Look up

Look up a word

  • Dictionary
  • Thesaurus
Please submit a word or phrase above.
Print this page

Print this page

Why can't I print more than one page at a time?

Help
Full screen
/ 215

matching results for page

    Questia reader help

    How to highlight and cite specific passages

    1. Click or tap the first word you want to select.
    2. Click or tap the last word you want to select, and you’ll see everything in between get selected.
    3. You’ll then get a menu of options like creating a highlight or a citation from that passage of text.

    OK, got it!

    Cited passage

    Style
    Citations are available only to our active members.
    Buy instant access to cite pages or passages in MLA, APA and Chicago citation styles.

    "Portraying himself as an honest, ordinary person helped Lincoln identify with his audiences." (Einhorn, 1992, p. 25).

    "Portraying himself as an honest, ordinary person helped Lincoln identify with his audiences." (Einhorn 25)

    "Portraying himself as an honest, ordinary person helped Lincoln identify with his audiences."1

    1. Lois J. Einhorn, Abraham Lincoln, the Orator: Penetrating the Lincoln Legend (Westport, CT: Greenwood Press, 1992), 25, http://www.questia.com/read/27419298.

    Cited passage

    Thanks for trying Questia!

    Please continue trying out our research tools, but please note, full functionality is available only to our active members.

    Your work will be lost once you leave this Web page.

    Buy instant access to save your work.

    Already a member? Log in now.

    Author Advanced search

    Oops!

    An unknown error has occurred. Please click the button below to reload the page. If the problem persists, please try again in a little while.