The Future's Back: Nuclear Rivalry, Deterrence Theory, and Crisis Stability after the Cold War

By Frank P. Harvey | Go to book overview

7 Conventional Deterrence and Compellence Theory: Perspectives on Testing after the Cold War

The focus of this final chapter is conventional deterrence and compellence theory. The purpose is to develop an argument in favour of an alternative testing strategy in this realm using protracted crises as the main source of empirical evidence. The chapter unfolds in four stages. Stage one briefly summarizes the key impediments to testing derived from chapter 2. Stage two introduces a different approach that recommends identifying separate deterrence and compellence encounters within a single foreign policy crisis, thus expanding the pool of evidence that would be appropriate for testing a wide range of theoretical propositions derived from theory. Stage three describes, in summary form, fourteen immediate deterrence/compellence exchanges between officials of the United States, NATO, and the United Nations and Bosnian Serb leaders that took place from April 1993 to September 1995; it considers whether the prerequisites for effective use of these coercive strategies were met, and it assesses whether the behaviour in these encounters was consistent with the theoretical predictions. Stage four addresses policy implications and the overall contributions of a protracted crisis approach to testing.

As described in chapter 2, the most prominent strategy used to produce evidence to evaluate rational deterrence theory recommends identifying cases of immediate deterrence, coding these cases as instances of success or failure, isolating conditions that were present (absent) during successes and absent (present) during failures and, based on these differences, drawing conclusions about why and how deterrence works. In the empirical domain, lack of correspondence

-121-

Notes for this page

Add a new note
If you are trying to select text to create highlights or citations, remember that you must now click or tap on the first word, and then click or tap on the last word.
One moment ...
Default project is now your active project.
Project items
Notes
Cite this page

Cited page

Style
Citations are available only to our active members.
Buy instant access to cite pages or passages in MLA 8, MLA 7, APA and Chicago citation styles.

(Einhorn, 1992, p. 25)

(Einhorn 25)

(Einhorn 25)

1. Lois J. Einhorn, Abraham Lincoln, the Orator: Penetrating the Lincoln Legend (Westport, CT: Greenwood Press, 1992), 25, http://www.questia.com/read/27419298.

Note: primary sources have slightly different requirements for citation. Please see these guidelines for more information.

Cited page

Bookmark this page
The Future's Back: Nuclear Rivalry, Deterrence Theory, and Crisis Stability after the Cold War
Table of contents

Table of contents

Settings

Settings

Typeface
Text size Smaller Larger Reset View mode
Search within

Search within this book

Look up

Look up a word

  • Dictionary
  • Thesaurus
Please submit a word or phrase above.
Print this page

Print this page

Why can't I print more than one page at a time?

Help
Full screen
Items saved from this book
  • Bookmarks
  • Highlights & Notes
  • Citations
/ 192

matching results for page

    Questia reader help

    How to highlight and cite specific passages

    1. Click or tap the first word you want to select.
    2. Click or tap the last word you want to select, and you’ll see everything in between get selected.
    3. You’ll then get a menu of options like creating a highlight or a citation from that passage of text.

    OK, got it!

    Cited passage

    Style
    Citations are available only to our active members.
    Buy instant access to cite pages or passages in MLA 8, MLA 7, APA and Chicago citation styles.

    "Portraying himself as an honest, ordinary person helped Lincoln identify with his audiences." (Einhorn, 1992, p. 25).

    "Portraying himself as an honest, ordinary person helped Lincoln identify with his audiences." (Einhorn 25)

    "Portraying himself as an honest, ordinary person helped Lincoln identify with his audiences." (Einhorn 25)

    "Portraying himself as an honest, ordinary person helped Lincoln identify with his audiences."1

    1. Lois J. Einhorn, Abraham Lincoln, the Orator: Penetrating the Lincoln Legend (Westport, CT: Greenwood Press, 1992), 25, http://www.questia.com/read/27419298.

    Cited passage

    Thanks for trying Questia!

    Please continue trying out our research tools, but please note, full functionality is available only to our active members.

    Your work will be lost once you leave this Web page.

    Buy instant access to save your work.

    Already a member? Log in now.

    Search by... Author
    Show... All Results Primary Sources Peer-reviewed

    Oops!

    An unknown error has occurred. Please click the button below to reload the page. If the problem persists, please try again in a little while.